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Nov 13 2025

This SPX Trade Hit Big With 12:1 Reward-to-Risk Payoff Using TRACE & HIRO

Searching for high payout, same-day trades? See how professional trader Doug Pless sold a 0DTE SPX Iron Condor to exploit the negative gamma environment on November 13, 2025 — powered by TRACE, HIRO, and Key Gamma Levels.

The result? A 12:1 reward-to-risk payoff. Here’s how:

Author:  Doug Pless
Professional Trader & SpotGamma Content Contributor

The Setup

The Tools

The Execution

The Payoff

• Stock: S&P 500 Index (SPX)

• Trade Type: Intraday options using 0DTE call spreads and put spreads

• Bias: Expectation for directional follow-through in a mildly negative Gamma environment

• Volatility: Low stability index pointing to potential directional move

• Thesis: TRACE flagged instability and a 99th percentile downside magnet at 6770; HIRO confirmed flow shift and dealer hedging helped drive price toward target




TRACE
• SPX opened in a mildly negative gamma environment
• Stability Index at 31% suggested potential for a directional move
• 99th percentile strike at 6770 acted as a key price magnet

HIRO
• 10:05 AM: Traders bought calls and sold puts → initial bullish push
• 10:15 AM: Flow reversed — call selling + put buying = bearish signal
• Dealer hedging flow aligned with downside acceleration

Key Gamma Levels
• 6770 flagged as downside draw
• 6765 added negative gamma reinforcement
• Entry #1: Around 10:15 AM — sold SPX 6820/6825 0DTE call spread for $2.70 credit

• Target: 6770 strike (TRACE magnet)

• Adjustment: Near 11:00 AM, sold 6770/6765 0DTE put spread for $2.15 credit → forming iron condor

• Total Risk: $0.15 per contract

• Exit: Closed around 1:00 PM with SPX breaking below 6765
• Reward/Risk Ratio: 12:1

• Profit: $1.80 per contract on $0.15 risk

• Result: Used SpotGamma tools to identify target, confirm timing with HIRO, and transition from directional to neutral position to lock in profit with precision
  • TRACE guides the thesis – Negative gamma + low stability index = increased chance of trend day
  • Gamma magnets matter – 6770 99th percentile strike acted like a magnet once flow shifted
  • HIRO confirms the moment – Real-time flow shift (call selling + put buying) aligned with price reversal
  • Iron Condor execution manages risk – Adjusting from short call spread to iron condor capitalized on mean reversion as price action reversed

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Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Case Study · Tagged: Case Study, Doug Pless, SPX

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