Why selling options premium offers thin compensation with short-dated implied volatility near its lows, and the SPX gamma levels that would change that.
OPEX
CPI Meets Positive Gamma: The SPX Levels That Could Determine the Next Move
Wednesday’s inflation report could determine whether stocks extend their rally or face renewed selling pressure as rising Treasury yields threaten to disrupt a relatively calm options market.
The OPEX Effect: Put Selling Is Still Doing The Work
Single stock put selling has left dealers long gamma while realized vol sits near lows. See the positioning levels that would change the read.
FOMC Preview: The Hike Is Priced. The Dots Aren’t.
A 25bp hike is overwhelmingly expected on September 16, which makes the dot plot the real surprise vector. A look at what the options market is pricing, where the big volatility hedges are showing up, why September VIX settles before the decision, and why Friday’s expiration may be the bigger structural event.
Gamma Guy: S&P 500 Realized Volatility Is the Lowest Since 2020
Brent Kochuba, founder of SpotGamma, joined tastylive Tuesday to explain why S&P 500 realized volatility sits at 2020 lows ahead of FOMC and a huge OPEX.
September OPEX Options Positioning: Why 7,600 Is the Line | The OPEX Effect
Brent Kochuba of SpotGamma joined Excess Returns Thursday on September OPEX options positioning, the 7,600 gamma line, oil-rate risk and cheap tech vol.
Gamma Guy with tastylive: Options Positioning Pins the Index While Tech Names Make Moves
Brent Kochuba, founder of SpotGamma, broke down September OPEX positioning, 0DTE flows and cheap IWM hedges on tastylive Tuesday, September 8.
Doves Fly into August Jobs Report
Friday’s 8:30 a.m. ET Employment Situation report has the potential to be the biggest bond-market catalyst since Jackson Hole, yet the options market is pricing a contained move. A look at SPX term structure, fixed strike vol, and dealer gamma ahead of the print.
Jackson Hole 2026: What the Options Market Expects
SPY forward IV prices Jackson Hole as a non-event, but CTAs are stretched short Treasuries and SPX gamma flips near 7780 — an asymmetric setup into Friday.
Vol Sellers Shrug off a Hawkish Fed
Despite a hawkish Fed rattling equities midweek, the market easily and quickly retraced any lost ground by Thursday. With June OPEX now behind us and implied volatility reset toward recent lows, there is a soft feeling of “what’s next?” for the S&P 500 until earnings season ramps up next month. The June FOMC meeting on […]