This week saw the zombie market resume with suppressed volatility and a broader market remaining constrained by positive gamma. SPX closed the week at 6,460, grinding slightly higher throughout the week before the rug was pulled on Friday. NVIDIA earnings on Wednesday served as the pivotal moment that shaped both volatility patterns and the broader […]
SpotGamma Weekly
The “Zombie Market” vs. NVDA Earnings
The sell-off last week exemplified a classic post-OPEX window of weakness, reinforced by Wednesday’s VIX expiration. With structural support somewhat removed, the market experienced a measured four-day decline from 6,455 to 6,345. Then, Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on Friday delivered exactly the dovish tone markets were hoping for, triggering a sharp reversal that saw the […]
Volatility Drought Persists Through OPEX
SPX ended the week at a major SpotGamma support level of 6,450, driven by a combination of volatility compression, stabilizing dealer hedging flows, and the power of large options positioning. This week followed the trajectory outlined in our Founder’s Note on Monday morning: a benign CPI reading sent volatility even lower, and the SPX rose from 6,360 […]
Market Drifts Through “Death Valley” Vols
The S&P 500 delivered a week that looked dramatic at times, but ended up just drifting slightly — closing up 1.8% after a wild ride. While volatility spiked early in the week from tariff deadlines and semiconductor earnings disappointments, IV quickly collapsed as 0DTE flows reasserted control. This vol crush became a self-reinforcing tailwind for […]
From “Zombie Market” to Vol Awakening
What a difference a week makes. The S&P 500 went from consistently hitting all-time highs with 6,450 touched on Wednesday to close Friday down 1.6% to 6,238.This dramatic shift from “zombie market” to spiking realized volatility exemplifies the need for protective puts and/or VIX calls as insurance, as we highlighted in the daily pre-market Founder’s Notes throughout […]
Animal Spirits Roar as Market Catalysts Loom
This week delivered a fascinating mix of meme stock chaos, trade deal optimism, and mega tech earnings keeping traders on their toes despite unusually calm waters for the broader market. The S&P 500 ultimately gained ground, closing at all-time-highs, just below the pivotal SPX 6,400 gamma strike. Call option volumes exploded this week alongside broader […]
July OPEX Opens the Window of Weakness
This week delivered everything from mini-flash crashes to meme stock explosions, capped off with a July OPEX that reinforced our thesis about dangerously complacent volatility expectations. Our key levels proved their worth again this week: resistance at 6,325 limited upside attempts, and support zones at 6,250 and 6,200 provided reliable bounce points. The 6,200 pivot […]