Carl Quintanilla, +20 year host of CNBC seems perplexed by what happens on the 18th/19th day of each month. Options expiration. Bounce.Bounce.Bounce.Bounce. What is it about the 18th/19th day of the month?(h/t @NorthmanTrader) pic.twitter.com/BxJGrSKcyX — Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla) August 23, 2021
Market Analysis
This Might Not Be a September to Remember: Options Expiration + FOMC Risk
The following is a guest post courtesy of Michael Kramer of Mott Capital Management. The September monthly options expiration, which also happens to be a quarterly quadruple witching, occurs just days before the next FOMC meeting. As noted previously, the market appears to be anxious about this upcoming meeting, and it is easy to understand why. The prospects […]
Reflexivity & the Weatherman
There is a phenomenon called “Warning/Alarm Fatigue” where people can become desensitized to warnings and risk. This is commonly associated with weather forecasts in which people may ignore alerts if they are too frequent, or have been recently incorrect. We’ve all experienced times when meteorologists predict major storms, only to find a bit of rain. However, there are often […]
Trading ES Futures Using HIRO and Vanna
The following is a guest post from Doug Pless. As I have discussed in previous articles, I begin my morning preparation by gathering information to help develop a thesis for the day when I trade futures. My thesis includes the following items: Directional bias Anticipated volatility Trading range for the day My primary sources of […]
Option Wall Stats
SpotGamma just completed a comprehensive statistical review of two of our key metrics: the Call wall and Put wall. These levels reflect very large concentration of call gamma, and put gamma respectively. Our working thesis is that the Call Wall provides stiff resistance to the S&P500, and works as a “cap” to prices. Conclusion: Call […]
Trading ES Futures Using HIRO
The following is a guest post from Doug Pless. When I trade futures, I begin my morning preparation by gathering information to help develop a thesis for the day. My thesis includes the following items: Directional bias Anticipated volatility Trading range for the day My primary source of information is the SpotGamma AM Report. For […]
Trading ES Futures Using SpotGamma Levels and Vanna Model
The following is a guest post from Doug Pless. As I discussed previously, I begin my morning preparation by reading the SpotGamma AM Report when I plan to trade futures. For ES futures, I note gamma levels, the SpotGamma Index, and Gamma Notional for SPX and SPY. The SpotGamma Gamma Index is a proprietary measurement […]
Volatility In The Markets May Rise Dramatically As Jackson Hole Approaches
The following is a guest post courtesy of Michael Kramer of Mott Capital Management. Jay Powell will speak at next week’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Some investors think it may be where he lays out the Fed’s path towards the tapering of asset purchases. Recent economic data suggests that inflation is running at levels that […]
Trading NQ Futures Using QQQ Equity Hub Data and Vanna Model
The following is a guest post from Doug Pless. As discussed previously, I begin my morning preparation by reading the SpotGamma AM Report when I plan to trade futures. For ES futures, I note gamma levels and key metrics for SPX and SPY. For NQ futures, I note Gamma Notional, and the Volatility Trigger, Put […]
Repeatable Setups in ES Futures Using SpotGamma Levels
The following is a guest post from Doug Pless. As discussed previously in my approach to trading futures with SpotGamma, I begin my morning preparation by reading the SpotGamma AM Report when I plan to trade ES futures. This report provides key metrics as well as updated gamma levels including the Volatility Trigger, Zero Gamma, […]