Three CELH insiders bought roughly $1.8 million of stock on the open market within six days in mid-September, one of them paying above the close. A look at why they bought when they did, and why the options market has not repriced for any of it into the November 5 print.
volatility
Trump Xi Summit and the Market Outlook
President Trump hosts Xi Jinping on September 24, days after the Fed’s first rate hike since 2023. Tariffs, rare earths, chip policy and Taiwan are all in play — and SpotGamma’s Compass shows cheap implied volatility across several China-sensitive names.
FOMC Preview: The Hike Is Priced. The Dots Aren’t.
A 25bp hike is overwhelmingly expected on September 16, which makes the dot plot the real surprise vector. A look at what the options market is pricing, where the big volatility hedges are showing up, why September VIX settles before the decision, and why Friday’s expiration may be the bigger structural event.
UBER Insider Buying: A $10 Million Vote of Confidence
Uber’s CEO bought roughly $10 million of stock on the open market at just under $71, his first such purchase since 2022. A look at the fundamentals behind the buy, the flat options skew, and the gamma and technical levels that frame the setup.
CPI Is the Catalyst. 7600 Is the Trade.
Markets are pricing a roughly 70% chance of a rate hike at the September 16 FOMC, and August CPI is the last inflation print the Fed sees before deciding. A look at what the option market is implying, the gamma setup into Friday’s expiration, and the three scenarios that matter.
Oracle Earnings Preview: $638B AI Backlog vs. an 11.5% Options Implied Move
Oracle reports fiscal Q1 2027 after the close on Thursday, September 10. The September 11 options are pricing an unusually large move, dealer gamma is tilted positive below current prices, and CPI lands before Friday’s open.
Broadcom is the Next AI Focused Catalyst
Fundamentals Broadcom (AVGO) is the most important remaining AI hardware earnings report of the week, providing investors with a different read on AI spending compared to Nvidia. Nvidia tells us about demand for general-purpose GPUs, while Broadcom tells us about custom AI accelerators, networking, hyperscaler silicon programs, and the increasingly competitive threat to Nvidia from […]
Jackson Hole 2026: What the Options Market Expects
SPY forward IV prices Jackson Hole as a non-event, but CTAs are stretched short Treasuries and SPX gamma flips near 7780 — an asymmetric setup into Friday.
NVDA Earnings: The Options Market May Be Underpricing This Move
NVDA reports Wednesday after the close with the options market pricing a 5.5% move — below its 7.4% average realized move over the last 12 quarters. Dealers are short gamma above $220, call skew sits at the 81st percentile, and a distorted term structure opens up a calendar spread setup.
The AI Trade Roars — But for How Long?
Last week, strong earnings pushed both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to — once again — achieve all-time highs. Through the fast and furious AI-driven rally of the past 6 weeks, SPX has climbed 15% while NDX has surged 28%. The market’s pace of advance is well beyond historical norms, reflecting an exceptionally aggressive repositioning […]