Daily Note: Futures are holding 3800 after making a 3780 low overnight. Gamma is negative across all indicies indicating a large trading range is in store today. The largest gamma strike has shifted from 3900 to 3800, which is again highlighted as our critical support mark. We feel a push below that 3800 level likely […]
Market Analysis
RKT Gamma Squeeze
We noted in a video last night that RKT was setup for a gamma squeeze, and the stock is up ~20% this morning. The stock has been rangebound for months and our proprietary indicators identified the setup for a gamma squeeze / stock breakout. As call positions increase, options market makers may need to purchase […]
GME Can’t Gamma Squeeze
As we outlined last week, GME can’t squeeze because the market makers are keeping implied volatility (i.e. the cost of options) very high. This reduces call buying, and therein reduces the leverage retail has.
GME Gamma Squeeze: Round 2
GME Gamma Squeeze – What Happened? Yesterday GME saw another massive price move with the stock ripping over 100% from $45 up over $160 in after hours trading. This move was likely fueled by an options gamma squeeze as we’ll explain here. First, note the existing options positions in GME, from the day prior to […]
Nomura McElligot Options Gamma Update
From ZH Update (1000ET): It appears the unclenching has begun! * * * While the S&P has been weaker since Friday’s opex, Nasdaq is the “messiest” due to the index-level price-movement “unclenching” based upon the sheer amount of $Gamma running-off post last Friday’s Op-Ex. As Nomura’s Charlie McElligott notes, the effect was particularly notable in […]
Brace For Surge In Volatility: Goldman Warns Record February Op-Ex Could Lead To Market Chaos
From ZH In case the market didn’t have enough things to worry about, Goldman has flagged a new scare that could spark a turmoil in today’s option expiration. As Goldman’s Vishal Vivek writes, today’s option expiry “is setting up to be the biggest for single stock options, outside of a January expiration.” Indeed, while open […]
The GME Gamma Squeeze
In late January 2021, GameStop experienced a once-in-a-decade squeeze that has captivated the world’s attention. This was a premeditated and programmatic exercise, orchestrated by coordinated stock and option buying across the retail and professional community, that resulted in large institutional entities losing billions of dollars. These investment houses with significant short positions did not expect a stock with […]
TLRY & Pot Stock Gamma
When a stock trades higher at a very rapid pace the price of the stock can pass the highest available options strike. For instance, at the start of the day on 2/9/21 the available call options strikes for Tilray (TLRY) ranged from ~5-$50. However the stock ripped over 50%, passing the 50 strike. When a […]
GME Options Pin
On 2/1 with GME stock at $225 we wrote about how options dealer flows could result in the stock dropping to the $60 strike. We highlighted this strike because it was where the largest concentration of options were placed (from a gamma perspective). You can see that is is precisely what has played out: This […]
Nomura’s McElligott: ‘The VIX Is Broken — Again’
From Heisneberg: “From a Vol market perspective, the issue is that the VIX is broken — again,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Monday, in one section of a sweeping note documenting recent dynamics and detailing what a trio of backtests might foretell for markets on the heels of last week’s somewhat deranged developments. It’s “all demand” […]
