With 10-year treasury yields now at two-decade highs, the topic of rates has dominated markets. Rising rates adds meaningful stress to the economy at large — creating both risk and opportunity for traders. The market’s most rate-sensitive corners have taken the brunt of the damage. Small caps (IWM), utilities (XLU), homebuilders (ITB), and industrials (XLI) […]
implied volatility
Index Put Protection Is Cheap With 10-Year Treasury Bonds at 5.3%
SpotGamma founder Brent Kochuba joined tastylive to explain why index put protection stays cheap with the 10-year at 5.3% and bond volatility climbing.
Friday Jobs Report Preview: What the Market Wants to See
The stock market faces its biggest economic test of the week Friday morning when the September jobs report is released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Micron Earnings Preview: Can the AI Memory Boom Keep Delivering?
Micron (MU) reports earnings Wednesday after the close, and this may be one of the most important semiconductor reports of the week.
META Rewrites the AI Trade
Meta’s new Muse AI Agent has done what a year of capex headlines could not: it has convinced the market that the company’s $200 billion investment in AI has a consumer-facing payoff. META rallied 13% over the past week and pushed toward 52-week highs as the personal agent app topped the download charts. The enthusiasm […]
Erasca’s November Catalyst: Promising Data, High Expectations and Strategic Optionality
The company’s lead drug, ERAS-0015, has shown encouraging early results. On November 20, Erasca will provide updated clinical data that could produce a large move in the stock.
Costco Earnings: What Shoppers—and Options—Are Telling Us
Costco reports Thursday, September 24, after the close, giving investors a timely consumer check during a quieter earnings week. The key question: Are shoppers spending confidently, or turning to Costco to stretch tighter budgets? Costco can benefit under either scenario. But the answer matters for the rest of retail: gaining customers who are hunting for […]
Quiet Oil Options Mask Tail Risk
Oil prices drove headlines this past week amidst flare-ups in the ongoing Iran conflict. WTI crude broke above $100 on September 15, and diesel fuel hit an all-time high of $6.31 per gallon. The mystery is that despite the price spike, the options market for oil remains unusually subdued. The CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index […]
Celsius Insiders Are Buying the Dip — And Options Are Cheap Into the Catalyst
Three CELH insiders bought roughly $1.8 million of stock on the open market within six days in mid-September, one of them paying above the close. A look at why they bought when they did, and why the options market has not repriced for any of it into the November 5 print.
Trump Xi Summit and the Market Outlook
President Trump hosts Xi Jinping on September 24, days after the Fed’s first rate hike since 2023. Tariffs, rare earths, chip policy and Taiwan are all in play — and SpotGamma’s Compass shows cheap implied volatility across several China-sensitive names.