TSLA announced earnings last night which beat expectations and the stock reacted… fairly normally. No insane pops or drops. We think much of this tepid reaction is due to the relative lack of gamma compared to past earnings periods (see here). Below is a chart of the current gamma levels in TSLA, and you can […]
Market Analysis
2020 The Year of the Customer Call
Fundamentals are dead Flows are the only thing that matters today Policymakers sought to stop a credit cycle with liquidity so people mistake liquidity for reality Financial gravity suspended, but not indefinitely, “flow guru” trading wins big in short term, but not long run — Christopher Cole (@vol_christopher) October 16, 2020 The 2020 markets have […]
Nomura 10/15 Gamma Update
From ZeroHedge A double-whammy of ‘soft’ Mnuchin confirmation that a fiscal “deal” pre-election is unlikely and the reacceleration of COVID-19 restrictions and closures across Europe, sparked a significant ‘risk-off’ move overnight with Nasdaq almost erasing all its gains for the week… But, as Nomura’s Charlie McElligott details, with stocks are the forefront of cross-asset risk sentiment, the talking-point on the […]
ZM ZOOM ZOOM
Call buyers are out in full force in ZM. Going into today there was ~250k calls outstanding. Today so far we’ve seen 150k calls trading, with 520-550 strikes in tomorrows expiration particularly active. Note below the 10/16 expiration call volume (left col) is heavily outpacing open interest (2nd from left). Going into today our EquityHub […]
Options poetry by McElligott
Options poetry by McElligott “Just like the Aug / Sep “pivot” from extreme grab to extreme vomit, if we were to continue rallying into Friday’s expiration, there will continue being a ton of stock to buy for the Dealers to remain delta hedged and extend the melt-up (i.e. late Aug)—but if we roll over and […]
Nasdaq Explodes Higher Amid Unprecedented Gamma/Futures Double-Squeeze
From ZeroHedge Heading into the weekend, we observed that despite the recent drift higher in the Nasdaq last week after its September correction, institutional investors remained skeptical with a near-record number of non-commercial spec shorts in the Nasdaq 100 mini according to the latest CFTC Commitment of Traders report, and after spiking to a historic […]
News of “Gamma” is Hot
Options Vanna
There is a lot of talk recently about options Vanna and we wanted to address some of these points here. The basic concept as applied to our SPX/SPY models can be distilled to this: • When implied volatility (i.e. VIX) declines stocks go up• When implied volatility increases stocks go down Obviously there are many […]
Nasdaq Whale Resurfacing?
From Bloomberg: On Thursday, a combined $74.5 million worth of Amazon call options expiring in January and March changed hands, divided between two block trades. Almost $52 million worth of bullish Facebook options expiring in the same months traded in two transactions. Roughly $25 million was spent on similarly dated Netflix calls in two blocks, […]
JPM Gamma Update
We present updated gamma figures from JPM this morning. It syncs with our AM note that 3300 is the key level.
