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S&P 500 Stock Market Gamma Trading Levels Based on Options Open Interest

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Market Analysis

May 28 2020

Speculators, Gamblers, Unite!

A strange thing has been happening in the options market recently, and I believe that is driving a lot of the intraday volatility we have been seeing. Yesterday (5/27) for instance, the S&P500 Index moved just under 100 total handles on the day. Take a look at the end of day snapshot of put volume […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: delta, hedges, open interest, retail

May 27 2020

The Volatility Trigger for ES Futures Traders

Bookmap heatmap of ESM0 E-Mini S&P 500 futures showing price drop through Vol Trigger then retrace to 3000.

Wednesday 5/27 was a great example of how the Volatility Trigger can be a key level in trading. The concept of the volatility trigger is that when the market moves below the Trigger, options dealers are short gamma. This may mean that they start to sell futures as the market moves lower, and but futures […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis, Trade · Tagged: gamma flip, volatility trigger, zero gamma

May 25 2020

Overnight Outperforms?

Line chart of SPY since 1993 showing overnight gains of 695% versus daytime losses of 15.3%.

There is well knows research which shows that the overnight session in ES/SPX is the source of most of the positive market performance. This chart from Bespoke does a great job highlighting this. We have thought a lot about this, and had a theory that this out-performance may be due in part to options hedging […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: after hours, bespoke, ES futures, regular trading

May 23 2020

ZoneTraderPro Futures Trade Review

Our friends at ZoneTraderPro have a great trade review from Friday 5/22, where the incorporate SpotGamma levels into their unique ES futures trading signals and plan.

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis, Trade · Tagged: ES futures, zonetraderpro

May 19 2020

SpotGamma Presentation Futures Liquidity

Join SpotGamma & Trade To Win to talk about options levels and futures liquidity.

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis

May 17 2020

Attack of Risk Reversal

Line chart of S&P 500 and small trader bullish options contracts from 2010 to 2020, with options at a record high.

@SentimentTrader posted this chart showing record “small” positions in long calls and short puts. Sentiment says these are “10 contracts or fewer per trade”, insinuating retail traders. This type of trade (long call/short put) is a position also known as a risk reversal. While the traders are not likely actually trading short puts and long […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: open interest, retail, risk reversal, sentimenttrader

May 13 2020

Mondays Market SPX Slide 5/12/20

5-minute candlestick chart of /ES futures dated 5/13/20 showing high of 2947, low of 2823 and last price 2872.25.

Yesterday markets fell apart pretty quickly and that leads us to highlight ES volume and the poor liquidity seen. You can see in the chart below that ES volume was higher than its recently been and a lot of that was concentrated into the close. This leads us to an interesting point about ES Futures […]

Written by tenten · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: futures, liquidity

May 12 2020

Nomura Pre May OPEX Update

Two side-by-side line charts of SPX and SPY combined gamma and delta versus spot, with a dashed SPOT line.

Like we have been highlighting to subscribers this weeks May SPX options expiration (OPEX) (Friday AM) could bring a state change to markets. From ZH we find another note from Nomura, echoing our sentiment: Into this week’s options expiry, Spooz (ref 2927) continue to remain pretty-sticky between 3 of the 4 largest $Gamma strikes on […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: nomura, OPEX

May 12 2020

SPX Options Levels & ES Futures Trading

The heatmap of SPX on May 11 shows large OI levels at 2950, 2930 call node, and 2900 plus a volume profile.

We believe that strikes with high open interest in the SPX create support and resistance lines for ES Futures trading. Here is one prime example. At top is the morning note we sent to subscribers at at the bottom you see those levels noted in the Bookmap futures trading platform. Futures currently trade at a […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: futures, open interest, options gamma levels

May 10 2020

Morgan Stanley VIX & SPX Market Gamma Update

Line chart of cumulative vol-target equity flows 2017-2020 next to bars of expected option and ETF gamma vs S&P 500 return.

From Zerohedge we see some nice Gamma related research from Morgan Stanley. Posted below is their note. By Chris Metli of Morgan Stanley Quantitative Derivative Solutions The March 2020 equity selloff ushered a huge volatility shock that caused unprecedented losses for short volatility strategies.  The impact is likely bigger than just a one-time hit to […]

Written by tenten · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: correlation, long gamma, morgan stanley, short gamma, VIX

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All SpotGamma materials, information, and presentations are for educational purposes only and should not be considered specific investment advice nor recommendations. Futures, foreign currency and options trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing one's financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Testimonials appearing on this website may not be representative of other clients or customers and is not a guarantee of future performance or success.

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