The following is a guest post from Doug Pless. Preparation When I plan to trade futures, I begin my morning preparation by reading the SpotGamma AM Founder’s Note. For ES futures, I note key Gamma levels for SPX and SPY, the SpotGamma Imp. 1 Day Move for SPX, the SpotGamma Gamma Index and Gamma Notional […]
OPEX
April 2022 Expiration Update
Yesterday we spoke with options expert Imran Lakha about the hedging flows tied to April OPEX. Currently, SpotGamma sees roughly 40% of total SPX/SPY/QQQ Gamma expiring by Thursday’s close. We also see roughly 50% of single stocks having their largest gamma position expiring on Thursday, too. For a list of S&P500 constituents most effected by […]
January OPEX: TSLA Tracking
SpotGamma has detected a large amount of call options expiring this Friday in many single stocks (see here). The stock with the largest size (on a delta basis) expiring is TSLA. As such, we’ve setup this page to track the daily change in TSLA’s delta position, to monitor what any options impact may be. In […]
‘Call AAA’: Santa Claus Is Having Sleigh Troubles
Through an options market lens, the following text will add color to some recent market movements.
S&P500 Is Less Volatile Into Expiration
In our daily subscriber reports we often talk about the “Options Expiration [OPEX] Cycle” and its influence on the S&P500. This cycle starts on the third Friday of each month, wherein its typical to have >20% of total S&P500 options* expiring. Our view is that options market maker hedging begins to concentrate around the strikes […]
‘Gamma Tilt’ Suggests More Downside In Stocks As “Bigly” Op-Ex Looms
From ZH: BY TYLER DURDENTHURSDAY, MAY 20, 2021 – 11:15 AM Nomura’s Charlie McElligott summarized things heading into the weekend perfectly for traders: “Op-Ex tomorow matters ‘bigly’ for Equities.“ Critically, he explains, there remains likelihood of continued “chase-y” moves in both directions on dealer delta hedging due to the magnitude of the positioning out there: Latest estimates show […]
Brace For Surge In Volatility: Goldman Warns Record February Op-Ex Could Lead To Market Chaos
From ZH In case the market didn’t have enough things to worry about, Goldman has flagged a new scare that could spark a turmoil in today’s option expiration. As Goldman’s Vishal Vivek writes, today’s option expiry “is setting up to be the biggest for single stock options, outside of a January expiration.” Indeed, while open […]
Nomura Pre May OPEX Update
Like we have been highlighting to subscribers this weeks May SPX options expiration (OPEX) (Friday AM) could bring a state change to markets. From ZH we find another note from Nomura, echoing our sentiment: Into this week’s options expiry, Spooz (ref 2927) continue to remain pretty-sticky between 3 of the 4 largest $Gamma strikes on […]
Still Question the Impact of Options?
This past March monthly OPEX was one of the largest on record, and featured very large deep in the money put positions. We believed this was a key driver of market volatility in early March, and the change in markets following expiration has been drastic. March OPEX was on 3/20, and it was the following […]
Nomuras Pre-OPEX Market View
We wrote a few days ago about the importance of tomorrows 3/20 options expiration because of 1) its sheer size and 2) its amount of deep in the money puts. ZeroHedge adds to this sentiment with some notes from Nomuras McElligott: this “large decline in the gamma post-expiration” should allow markets to pivot back to […]