The stock market faces its biggest economic test of the week Friday morning when the September jobs report is released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
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Micron Earnings Preview: Can the AI Memory Boom Keep Delivering?
Micron (MU) reports earnings Wednesday after the close, and this may be one of the most important semiconductor reports of the week.
Costco Earnings: What Shoppers—and Options—Are Telling Us
Costco reports Thursday, September 24, after the close, giving investors a timely consumer check during a quieter earnings week. The key question: Are shoppers spending confidently, or turning to Costco to stretch tighter budgets? Costco can benefit under either scenario. But the answer matters for the rest of retail: gaining customers who are hunting for […]
Trump Xi Summit and the Market Outlook
President Trump hosts Xi Jinping on September 24, days after the Fed’s first rate hike since 2023. Tariffs, rare earths, chip policy and Taiwan are all in play — and SpotGamma’s Compass shows cheap implied volatility across several China-sensitive names.
FOMC Preview: The Hike Is Priced. The Dots Aren’t.
A 25bp hike is overwhelmingly expected on September 16, which makes the dot plot the real surprise vector. A look at what the options market is pricing, where the big volatility hedges are showing up, why September VIX settles before the decision, and why Friday’s expiration may be the bigger structural event.
CPI Is the Catalyst. 7600 Is the Trade.
Markets are pricing a roughly 70% chance of a rate hike at the September 16 FOMC, and August CPI is the last inflation print the Fed sees before deciding. A look at what the option market is implying, the gamma setup into Friday’s expiration, and the three scenarios that matter.
Oracle Earnings Preview: $638B AI Backlog vs. an 11.5% Options Implied Move
Oracle reports fiscal Q1 2027 after the close on Thursday, September 10. The September 11 options are pricing an unusually large move, dealer gamma is tilted positive below current prices, and CPI lands before Friday’s open.
Doves Fly into August Jobs Report
Friday’s 8:30 a.m. ET Employment Situation report has the potential to be the biggest bond-market catalyst since Jackson Hole, yet the options market is pricing a contained move. A look at SPX term structure, fixed strike vol, and dealer gamma ahead of the print.
Broadcom is the Next AI Focused Catalyst
Fundamentals Broadcom (AVGO) is the most important remaining AI hardware earnings report of the week, providing investors with a different read on AI spending compared to Nvidia. Nvidia tells us about demand for general-purpose GPUs, while Broadcom tells us about custom AI accelerators, networking, hyperscaler silicon programs, and the increasingly competitive threat to Nvidia from […]
Jackson Hole 2026: What the Options Market Expects
SPY forward IV prices Jackson Hole as a non-event, but CTAs are stretched short Treasuries and SPX gamma flips near 7780 — an asymmetric setup into Friday.