The following is a guest post courtesy of Michael Kramer of Mott Capital Management. The S&P 500 finished the week ending September 24 up a mere 50 basis points, a tranquil week – on the surface. Volatility was fierce to start the week, a dynamic predicted by SpotGamma and shared with their subscribers last week. […]
VIX
Volatility In The Markets May Rise Dramatically As Jackson Hole Approaches
The following is a guest post courtesy of Michael Kramer of Mott Capital Management. Jay Powell will speak at next week’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Some investors think it may be where he lays out the Fed’s path towards the tapering of asset purchases. Recent economic data suggests that inflation is running at levels that […]
Implied Volatility Reading in the SPX & VIX
Brent Kochuba, Founder of SpotGamma, joins Imran Lakha of Options-Insights to talk about the current volatility readings in the SPX and VIX. This covers both realized and implied volatility which are shifting ahead of a large options expiration.
Todays Option Vanna Rally
We’ve written about some of the major risk signals showing over the last several days/weeks, and those risks manifested in a 4-5% drawdown over the last few trading sessions. Todays bounce appears to be mainly off of the closing of short term put options trades (delta hedge unwind) along with a crush in implied volatility. […]
Nomura’s McElligott: ‘The VIX Is Broken — Again’
From Heisneberg: “From a Vol market perspective, the issue is that the VIX is broken — again,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Monday, in one section of a sweeping note documenting recent dynamics and detailing what a trio of backtests might foretell for markets on the heels of last week’s somewhat deranged developments. It’s “all demand” […]
“Full-Tilt Insanity Mode” – Nomura Warns This Week’s OpEx Is “Absolutely Going To Matter” For ‘Weaponized Gamma’ Crowd
Via ZeroHedge The world appears to be stock in what Nomura’s Charlie McElligott calls “Robinhood / YOLO / ‘weaponized gamma’” nonsense as the equity buy-to-open premium is soaring in individual stocks (and indices)… Source: SpotGamma Specifically, the Nomura MD notes that it is Op-Ex week, and the options positioning is absolutely going to matter, particularly off the back of […]
VEXING VIX
Shorting VIX has been the big pre election play, and we noted recently during market draw downs that VIX put volumes have increased. This indicates VIX sellers are taking advantage of higher VIX prices to bet on a collapse in volatility. Today we note the S&P is down ~3% and the VIX Put Call Ratio […]
Morgan Stanley VIX & SPX Market Gamma Update
From Zerohedge we see some nice Gamma related research from Morgan Stanley. Posted below is their note. By Chris Metli of Morgan Stanley Quantitative Derivative Solutions The March 2020 equity selloff ushered a huge volatility shock that caused unprecedented losses for short volatility strategies. The impact is likely bigger than just a one-time hit to […]
Strike of the Deltas – Can Put Deltas Move the Market Down?
Interesting day in the market today as numerous China related headlines took away a futures rally that was testing all time highs. Its our view that much of the selling today was due to put buying. It seems there was a decent amount of slightly OTM puts trading, combined with a large move up in […]
Has Gamma Made the VIX “Useless”
Posting this as something to revisit later. Zerohedge posted the following recently: If one observes a conventional indicator of prevailing risk sentiment such as the VIX, which is trading in the low teens and near the lowest levels over the past two years (and far below its long-term average of 20), one would be left […]