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S&P 500 Stock Market Gamma Trading Levels Based on Options Open Interest

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Market Analysis

May 19 2020

SpotGamma Presentation Futures Liquidity

Join SpotGamma & Trade To Win to talk about options levels and futures liquidity.

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis

May 17 2020

Attack of Risk Reversal

Line chart of S&P 500 and small trader bullish options contracts from 2010 to 2020, with options at a record high.

@SentimentTrader posted this chart showing record “small” positions in long calls and short puts. Sentiment says these are “10 contracts or fewer per trade”, insinuating retail traders. This type of trade (long call/short put) is a position also known as a risk reversal. While the traders are not likely actually trading short puts and long […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: open interest, retail, risk reversal, sentimenttrader

May 13 2020

Mondays Market SPX Slide 5/12/20

5-minute candlestick chart of /ES futures dated 5/13/20 showing high of 2947, low of 2823 and last price 2872.25.

Yesterday markets fell apart pretty quickly and that leads us to highlight ES volume and the poor liquidity seen. You can see in the chart below that ES volume was higher than its recently been and a lot of that was concentrated into the close. This leads us to an interesting point about ES Futures […]

Written by tenten · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: futures, liquidity

May 12 2020

Nomura Pre May OPEX Update

Two side-by-side line charts of SPX and SPY combined gamma and delta versus spot, with a dashed SPOT line.

Like we have been highlighting to subscribers this weeks May SPX options expiration (OPEX) (Friday AM) could bring a state change to markets. From ZH we find another note from Nomura, echoing our sentiment: Into this week’s options expiry, Spooz (ref 2927) continue to remain pretty-sticky between 3 of the 4 largest $Gamma strikes on […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: nomura, OPEX

May 12 2020

SPX Options Levels & ES Futures Trading

The heatmap of SPX on May 11 shows large OI levels at 2950, 2930 call node, and 2900 plus a volume profile.

We believe that strikes with high open interest in the SPX create support and resistance lines for ES Futures trading. Here is one prime example. At top is the morning note we sent to subscribers at at the bottom you see those levels noted in the Bookmap futures trading platform. Futures currently trade at a […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: futures, open interest, options gamma levels

May 10 2020

Morgan Stanley VIX & SPX Market Gamma Update

Line chart of cumulative vol-target equity flows 2017-2020 next to bars of expected option and ETF gamma vs S&P 500 return.

From Zerohedge we see some nice Gamma related research from Morgan Stanley. Posted below is their note. By Chris Metli of Morgan Stanley Quantitative Derivative Solutions The March 2020 equity selloff ushered a huge volatility shock that caused unprecedented losses for short volatility strategies.  The impact is likely bigger than just a one-time hit to […]

Written by tenten · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: correlation, long gamma, morgan stanley, short gamma, VIX

May 06 2020

Nomura Market Gamma Update 5/6/20

Two line charts of SPX and SPY combined gamma and delta vs spot with flip points at 2837 and 2881.

Like we wrote on Twitter and to subscribers a few days ago, the market is stuck in Gamma Neutral and Nomura agrees. Like our data, Nomura went from ~2940- ~2850. Exact flip points keep flopping. <2800 is trouble | >2900 we can all chase the top | 2800-2900 ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ pic.twitter.com/VvwkBETfms — spotgamma (@spotgamma) May 4, […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: gamma neutral, nomura

May 04 2020

Nomura Draws the Market Gamma Line

Line chart of SPX and SPY combined gamma vs spot, flip at 2847.06, with red and green boxes.

We produced these levels in real time for subscribers, but if you’re a bit behind here is the update from Nomura via ZH. This note comes after the SPX tested 2950, and sold off toward the 2800 level on Friday 5/1/20. The gap also shocked the also just-established Dealer “Long Gamma” position (when ref was […]

Written by tenten · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: gamma flip, market gamma, nomura

May 01 2020

Nomura Gamma Update 5/1/20

Line chart of SPX and SPY combined gamma per 1% vs spot with two curves peaking near 3000 and flip points around 2830.

From MarketEar: What about those CTAs and gamma dealers here? Yesterday people were quoting Nomura’s quant and his take on positioning: “…now increasingly outright ‘long gamma’…less spastic market moves” Per our post yesterday “Where is that long gamma today…” we pointed out; “Watch the downside should they “flip” to short gamma again….back to magnifying the […]

Written by tenten · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: dealer positioning, nomura

Apr 30 2020

Is Nomura Reading SpotGamma Notes?

Line chart of SPX and SPY combined gamma per 1% vs spot with two curves highlighted by green and red boxes.

No, I’m sure they arent. But there are a lot of overlap. From our recent subscriber notes:  2950 should now set up as the High Gamma strike resistance with 2900 the first line of support. As we are in positive gamma territory we see decreased risk of a sharp sustained drop from this level – […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: gamma flip, nomura, open interest

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