SPX right tail risk may be under-owned: the whole vol surface lifted, flows leaned to call spreads, and put flies cap the cost of hedging 7,600.
hedging
Rising Correlation Is Thinning Out The Rotation Trade
Rising correlation, firmer fixed-strike vol and steeper 3-month put skew suggest the rotation trade is weakening. See where hedges still look cheap.
CYTK: A $390K Options Bet Targets November FDA Catalyst
Cytokinetics (CYTK) is setting up as an interesting event-driven biotech trade into November, with the options market beginning to position around a major FDA decision while the stock sits near the lower end of its recent range.
Index Put Protection Is Cheap With 10-Year Treasury Bonds at 5.3%
SpotGamma founder Brent Kochuba joined tastylive to explain why index put protection stays cheap with the 10-year at 5.3% and bond volatility climbing.
GEX & JPM Collar: SpotGamma on TastyTrade
How Options Market Structure Controls Intraday Price Action: GEX, Dealer Hedging, and the JP Morgan Collar Trade Most traders watch price. Sophisticated traders watch flow. But the traders with real structural edge watch what dealers are forced to do — because when the biggest participants in the world’s largest options complex are compelled to hedge, markets move […]
The Fed Meeting May Spark The Next Stock Market Rally
The following is a guest post courtesy of Michael Kramer of Mott Capital Management. Buy the Fed meeting. Sell the Fed minutes. It may be the name of the game for the stock market. At least since the start of 2022, the minutes have been a cause of concern for markets, while the FOMC meetings […]
June Selloff Review
Markets were unable to hold gains on Friday after a sharp selloff on Thursday. While we initially opened over the gamma flip zone, markets broke that 3075 area and immediately sold down to the 3000 strike. This 3000 level is where we calculated the most options gamma and served as support. All of these levels […]
Hedging Into the Close
@VolCurve brought up a great point today – ” Don’t mistake gamma hedging for strength.” It was an interesting example today of what looks like gamma hedging moving the market into the close. The market was quite weak today, but some force kept bringing us higher towards 3300 into the close. SPX options settle at […]
Options Market Gamma Theory is All About Volume
Options market gamma numbers proliferate the market but its important to understand what exactly those numbers mean. Yes, positive gamma may indicate lower stock volatility. And when gamma flips from positive to negative that may indicate higher volatility. But the actual gamma number itself is an estimate of how much stock dealers will have to […]
December 2019 Market Decline Review
Here is a chart outlining how we saw the selloff during the first week of December 2019. There was record high gamma going into the first week of December which indicates that call:put ratios were at extremes. After a few negative tweets about trade and a poor ISM number selling started, and put buyers stepped […]