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S&P 500 Stock Market Gamma Trading Levels Based on Options Open Interest

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Market Analysis

Aug 13 2020

CSCO Earnings Crash – a Prediction

5-minute CSCO line chart with a sharp drop to 42.93, Most Options Gamma near 50 and Largest Put Concentration near 40.

We’re positing up a live example of using our Equity Hub data. CSCO disappointed in earnings today, and is currently down 10%. Here is a snapshot of our data from preopen which shows the largest concentration of options at the 50 strike. The most puts are at 40, which we think might function as a […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis, Stock

Aug 13 2020

FSLY Stock Analysis

Line chart of FSLY estimated notional gamma by strike with call and put gamma dropping near 80.

This was a great chart posted by our friend @ccurvetrading of FSLY stock based on our options data. You’ll note there was a lot of gamma put gamma set to expire today (8/13) which would be crushed if the stock started a move higher. This may have caused dealers to rapidly cover short hedges. We […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis, Stock · Tagged: FSLY, gamma, hedge wall

Aug 12 2020

Gamma Level Resistance – A Visualization

ESU0 price chart with volume heatmap, yellow Combo L3 level at 3387, and red arrow indicating resistance.

Today provided an excellent example of key resistance at an important options level in the SPX/ES. As you can see the market had a consistent bid from the open right into our 3387 SPX level (yellow arrow, left). The market spend much of the afternoon up against that resistance area, and finally rejected it towards […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: ES, gamma, support

Aug 11 2020

Silver SLV Gamma Volatility

Trade analysis table comparing call and put volumes, bid/ask trades, and delta ranges.

Silver and the SLV ETF are having some amazing volatility as of late, with a -10% move currently underway. We’ve been watching this setup for several weeks, anticipating volatility due to the large amount of call gamma building up. We believe its important to be aware of this position as these very large moves may […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis, Stock · Tagged: gamma, silver, SLV

Aug 10 2020

JPM Gamma Update August ’20

Line chart of SPX P-C gamma imbalance ($Bn) declining from 30 to -35 between 2900 and 3500.

Here is a note we from JPM Equity Derivatives Strategy about SPX Gamma for August: Thought I would pass along: Our Gamma Imbalance Monitor shows the largest gamma imbalance to calls we have seen since early Feb20. This points to sizable dealer long gamma positioning. As this imbalance has grown, realized vol has ticked lower […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis

Aug 10 2020

Largest VIX Spikes + VIX Seasonality

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis

Aug 04 2020

Nomura August 2020 Gamma Update

Charlie McElligott’s prediction from last week that the Nasdaq could suffer from a nasty spill as dealer gamma had turned increasingly negative… … was foiled by the blockbuster earnings from the mega tech companies which sent the Nasdaq to new all time highs, forcing dealers – and frankly everybody else – to chase the year’s best performing […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: AAPL, gamma, nomura

Jul 30 2020

AAPL, FB, AMZN Earnings Gamma Chart Pack

Line chart of AMZN estimated gamma notional vs strike 2800-3400 for all expirations, without next, and without monthly.

Below we show two styles of charts. The first (red, black, green lines) show how much gamma is tied to various expirations. The more gamma there is the more volatility these stocks may have. This is due to our assumption that stocks maintain a negative gamma stance as traders are primarily call buyers (and dealers […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis, Stock · Tagged: AAPL, AMZN, earnings, FB

Jul 28 2020

Record Call Options at Record Prices

Line chart showing option volume as percent of shares volume from 2006 to 2020, spiking over 110 percent recently.

The following charts represent the most important dynamic in equity markets. It can be summarized by this: Massive call demand has pushed call prices way up, driving huge amounts of stock volume. Record levels of single stock call options were purchased into June expiration, reloaded back to record levels in July, and are now rebuilding […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: artemis, goldman, options stock volume, record call options, right tail skew

Jul 23 2020

Nomura Gamma Update 7/23/20

Line chart of combined SPX and SPY gamma versus spot price with red and green highlight boxes.

From ZH: Indeed, according to Nomura quant Charlie McElligott, after last month’s near-record Op-Ex, things are far more calm now and “3300 looks like the truth in Spooz, with nearly double the aggregate $Gamma ($4.5B) of the next closest line (3250 with $2.4B) as we head into expiry, thus exhibiting some “gravity” with Spooz up nearly 90 […]

Written by SpotGamma · Categorized: Market Analysis · Tagged: gamma, nomura

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