Brent Kochuba of SpotGamma joined tastylive September 22 on vol expansion, NDX call skew and the dispersion rebuilding across tech.
Market Analysis
Costco Earnings: What Shoppers—and Options—Are Telling Us
Costco reports Thursday, September 24, after the close, giving investors a timely consumer check during a quieter earnings week. The key question: Are shoppers spending confidently, or turning to Costco to stretch tighter budgets? Costco can benefit under either scenario. But the answer matters for the rest of retail: gaining customers who are hunting for […]
The S&P500’s Diversification Problem
SpotGamma believes traders should add long exposure via NDX/QQQ calls due to a potential rally in equities through mid terms which would couple with a potential increase in volatility. Both higher equity prices and higher volatility benefit call positions.
We prefer the tech-heavy NDX vs SPX due to a “diversification drag” the S&P500 may experience.
Quiet Oil Options Mask Tail Risk
Oil prices drove headlines this past week amidst flare-ups in the ongoing Iran conflict. WTI crude broke above $100 on September 15, and diesel fuel hit an all-time high of $6.31 per gallon. The mystery is that despite the price spike, the options market for oil remains unusually subdued. The CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index […]
Celsius Insiders Are Buying the Dip — And Options Are Cheap Into the Catalyst
Three CELH insiders bought roughly $1.8 million of stock on the open market within six days in mid-September, one of them paying above the close. A look at why they bought when they did, and why the options market has not repriced for any of it into the November 5 print.
Trump Xi Summit and the Market Outlook
President Trump hosts Xi Jinping on September 24, days after the Fed’s first rate hike since 2023. Tariffs, rare earths, chip policy and Taiwan are all in play — and SpotGamma’s Compass shows cheap implied volatility across several China-sensitive names.
AI Stocks Options Positioning: Call Selling, Not Put Buying
Brent Kochuba of SpotGamma joined CNBC on September 16 to read AI stocks options positioning, bond ETF put skew and rising correlation.
FOMC Preview: The Hike Is Priced. The Dots Aren’t.
A 25bp hike is overwhelmingly expected on September 16, which makes the dot plot the real surprise vector. A look at what the options market is pricing, where the big volatility hedges are showing up, why September VIX settles before the decision, and why Friday’s expiration may be the bigger structural event.
Gamma Guy: S&P 500 Realized Volatility Is the Lowest Since 2020
Brent Kochuba, founder of SpotGamma, joined tastylive Tuesday to explain why S&P 500 realized volatility sits at 2020 lows ahead of FOMC and a huge OPEX.
UBER Insider Buying: A $10 Million Vote of Confidence
Uber’s CEO bought roughly $10 million of stock on the open market at just under $71, his first such purchase since 2022. A look at the fundamentals behind the buy, the flat options skew, and the gamma and technical levels that frame the setup.